Today marks the close of my 3rd year investing in the equities market.
Thoughts:
Compared to when I first started, I have grown more cautious, more risk-adverse.
Perhaps it is from having gained more experience and knowledge.
Perhaps it is the current volatile markets and unstable geopolitics.
I've opted for higher cash holdings.
More diversification - smaller exposure on each individual stock.
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China
No risk no gain.
So much for being risk-adverse hah...
With a confluence of external influences and internal controls, China is as risky a market as it can get in the short term.
Still, I think there is value to be gleaned from less risky options i.e. SOEs
State controlled entities. or well, state-linked.
The Big 4 banks, the telecoms etc.
Choosing these state-affiliated companies reduces exposure to the risk of internal controls.
What's left then, is the external influences.
Curbs, decoupling, export controls, etc.
All of which can derail China's economic recovery, or at least, delay it.
But if there's one people, one party, I'm willing to ride along with, its China.
Will see.
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Singapore
Many say SGX means Banks + REITs.
On some level, I think they have a point.
On another level, I think flavour of the future can be explored too.
After all, my biggest return to date came from investing in a renewables company.
I think ST Engineering might be the next flavour, but at current valuations, I don't think they're cheap enough to add.
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Lessons
Some lessons that I learnt this year.
Fundamentals don't mean much in the short term.
If you have the catalysts, prices can rise or crash way beyond what the fundamentals might point to.
So there is value to be gained through rotational plays, and themed plays.
Just don't be the last to leave, because these catalyst driven stocks usually correct back to the fundamental levels in the long run.
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As always, gentle reminder to dyodd.